A statistical atlas · 2000—2024 · 481 churches

Five hundred miles of border, five hundred miles of coast.

The Rio Texas Annual Conference of The United Methodist Church, formed in 2015 from the merger of the Southwest Texas and Rio Grande conferences. This atlas follows every congregation through a quarter-century of its own statistical record — where the conference has grown, where it has thinned, and what tends to come before each.

203
Active churches
126
Disaffiliated
152
Closed since 2000
61
Active & at-risk
elevated or high

A quarter-century

The conference, by the numbers, 20002024.

Professing membership has fallen roughly 51% from its peak. Figures before 2015 sum the two predecessor conferences.

Professing members

-50%
merger67K20002024

Average worship attendance

-71%
merger17K20002024

Total funds paid

-1%
merger$82M20002024

What precedes growth

Engagement, not size, foretells the next three years.

Correlation between a church's per-member activity in one year and its membership change three years later, across every congregation and year on record.

Worship attendance per member
n = 8,154
+0.24
Professions of faith per member
n = 8,154
+0.15
Formation participation per member
n = 4,363
+0.10
Baptisms per member
n = 6,758
+0.07
Reports online worship
n = 1,445
-0.06